The Liberals are slipping in the polls in Ontario. What does Martin do? He makes yet another stupid statement! Martin refuses to come forth and return money that was likely stolen by the Liberal Party through the sponsorship scandal. His former separatist Quebec lieutenant, Lapierre, does likewise in what seems to be a daily routine of his to say something stupid. What's the message we're supposed to take from this? That Martin and the Liberals want to steal money? Please Martin, you're going to lose if you keep doing this!

Speaking of losing, one of the best political commentators, in my opinion, Diane Francis is predicting a Harper win in this election.

[The Conservatives] are saying vote for us and you'll get a better deal and a better country.

By contrast, the Liberals are saying: Vote for us and we'll stop being corrupt and keep out of power those extremist, fascists from Western Canada.

Personally, I think she's jumping the gun, and I don't buy her argument that Ontarions tend to lie to pollsters and will shift their vote come election day—if so, why did the Reform and Canadian Alliance never pick up much more support on election day? Nonetheless, I think it's a strong statement of how poorly Martin is doing right now (whether this continues for another 31 days is an entirely different question).

Martin needs help and he won't get it from the Chretien Liberals he pissed of by shunning.

Paul Wells (link 1 an link 2) and Andrew Coyne (link) explain how Harper's success thusfar is largely because he hasn't taken any risks, something he can't keep up. Coyne's piece is particularly good.

Lastly, Andrew Coyne discusses how the media is focusing on Martin's every minor mistake as it did to Stockwell Day last time. The media, it seems, like to hit you on the little things when they don't like you. Coyne then then attacks Martin some more—I guess the media really doesn't like Martin.