April 18, 2005

Election Date Prediction

Mustafa Hirji (email) at 11:13 AM

I hope to return to posting regularly in a few days, but I just wanted to lay down my prediction for when the election will be. Rachel and I discussed this question last week (April 11, I think) and we've concluded that Harper's strategy will be to let his MPs go home for the vacation. When they return in early May, the Conservatives will claim that their constituents have lost confidence in the government and so on May 19, the first opposition day after getting back, the Conservatives will orchestrate the fall of the government with the election likely falling on June 27, 2005, 364 days after the last election.

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