Political Re-alignment?

Ian Walsh at Tilting at Windmills delivers a much deserved thwacking to Harper and the Conservatives (more from me on this later). However, Walsh also argues that the Conservative Party is dead and that the NDP has the opportunity to take over as the alternative to the federal Liberals.

Nice idea, but it won't fly.

The pre-requisite for this scenario is that either (a) the Conservative-voters who like taxes low, health care more private, and marriage more hetrosexual will all of a sudden vote for the NDP (ha!), or (b) Conservatives will stop voting and the Liberal vote will split. The latter is at least somewhat believable except for the fact that the Conservatives remain at about the same levels they were during last year's elections.

The Conservatives aren't quite gone yet. And next spring is a long time away in political terms especially with the Gomery Report and an election campaign still to come.

Rumblings of the CPC's death have been greatly exaggerated.